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Analysed 28,771 tweets, tweets from the last 208 weeks.
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Last 50 tweets from @Taniel
Oregon’s maps heading into great uncertainty (unless GOP provides quorum over next 48 hours). No telling how judges will draw congressional map (but likely won’t be as good as what Dems hoped for, with potential for much worse), but GOP could get far worse legislative maps.
Replying to @Taniel
What unfolded in Colorado (where redistricting commission delivered a map that could end up as 4-4 in a Dem trifecta state) may end up similar to what happens in Oregon, or else Dems could get much better end of the shtick. 🤷‍♂️ (The arbitrariness that makes up House majorities.)
 
Oregon’s maps heading into great uncertainty (unless GOP provides quorum over next 48 hours). No telling how judges will draw congressional map (but likely won’t be as good as what Dems hoped for, with potential for much worse), but GOP could get far worse legislative maps.
Oregon still has tomorrow to pass a redistricting plan, but expect the Oregon SOS to take over drawing the legislative lines and a judicial panel to take over drawing the Congressional lines
 
Trump already played a crucial role in flipping both of Georgia’s Senate seats blue.
Trump jokes for the second time tonight that he'd prefer Stacey Abrams to Brian Kemp for governor of Georgia.
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
It would be quite shocking if Yes lost — polling has routinely showed Yes winning by an almost 2:1 margin (you only need 50k signatures to trigger a referendum in a country of 8.5 million).
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
I just assume I’ve heard all the wacky arguments against marriage equality and then boom, there’s a new one.
 
Swiss conservatives ran this ad to urge people to vote 'no' against gay-marriage tomorrow.

It says "kids with a dead person". Why? This says zombie is to "falsely insinuate that sperm donors used by lesbian couples could already be dead:" dw.com/en/switzerland… pic.twitter.com/X1ldCCyb2p
Replying to @Taniel
My understanding is that the 'yes' to gay marriage is highly favored to win tomorrow in Switzerland.
 
Swiss conservatives ran this ad to urge people to vote 'no' against gay-marriage tomorrow.

It says "kids with a dead person". Why? This says zombie is to "falsely insinuate that sperm donors used by lesbian couples could already be dead:" dw.com/en/switzerland…
 
Iceland voted today (but results tomorrow), in an election shaped by environmental urgency.

also tomorrow: Germany.
Iceland's election has been dominated by the issue of climate change after the North Atlantic island nation saw a warmer-than-usual summer and melting glaciers. apne.ws/xYUz6r1
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
In reply to @srfeld
.@Taniel wrote about the liberal majority on the WA Supreme Court. In addition to restricting life sentences for juveniles, they struck down the state law criminalizing drug possession, spurring the legislature to pass a new law that's less harsh. theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
Landmark Rulings Show Untapped Potential of State Courts To Advance Civil Rights
theappeal.org
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
The right’s snap dismissal of the conclusion of AZ’s partisan review - the Biden really did win - shows it was never about ‘restoring confidence’ in elections; it was the predicate for making it harder to vote, in AZ and around the country. nytimes.com/2021/09/24/us/…
Stop the Steal Movement Races Forward, Ignoring Arizona Humiliation
nytimes.com
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
NEW: How moderate Democrats derailed police reform theintercept.com/2021/09/24/pol…
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
In reply to @dirquez
Here's the map. An initial analysis suggests this could lead to a 4-2 split in the state's Congressional districts -- not the 5-1 split Democrats had been insistent on. Still looking at it. #orpol #orleg oregonlegislature.gov/redistricting/…
 
In reply to @Taniel
The Oregon stalemate has been postponed, until the weekend this time, ostensibly due to COVID. That’d leave just a few days before Monday’s redistricting deadline; but also a few days until then for, perhaps, some arrangement (if one is needed and/or desired).
Replying to @Taniel
So, I suppose we’re back at it in Oregon today — with just days left before the redistricting deadline. A note while we wait: Oregon did NOT end prison gerrymandering, unlike many other states with Dem trifectas that passed laws to do that in recent years.
 
In reply to @Taniel
There’s a seat missing
Replying to @RonLPitts
A candidate won a seat as an independent in 2019.
 
a few years ago i was so confident that SCOTUS would end juvenile life without parole in the next few years. now that seems light years away. not to mention *gestures* everything else
Replying to @jduffyrice
And there are cases that could overturn the recent precedents (some of which were 5-4 with Kennedy…) why it was so big the WA Supreme Court used its state constitution to go after jlwop theappeal.org/politicalrepor…
 
Canada's snap elections are now over: all 338 ridings have been called, & the results really are almost identical to the 2019 elections!

Liberals: 159 seats (+2)
Conservatives: 119 (-2)
Bloc Quebecois: 33 (+1)
NDP: 25 (+1)
Greens: 2 (-1)
Replying to @Taniel
Remember: German elections are tomorrow, & will determine whether the CDU (conservative party) continues running the government for a 5th straight terms. Also this weekend: Iceland's elections, & the Swiss vote on whether to legalize gay marriage. (list whatsontheballot.com)
What To Track in the 2021 Primaries: A Week-by-Week Guide
whatsontheballot.com
 
Canada's snap elections are now over: all 338 ridings have been called, & the results really are almost identical to the 2019 elections!

Liberals: 159 seats (+2)
Conservatives: 119 (-2)
Bloc Quebecois: 33 (+1)
NDP: 25 (+1)
Greens: 2 (-1)
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
For @TheAtlantic, I wrote about the salt-of-the-earth millionaires who make up America's local gentry, and how their economic and political clout shapes American politics and society. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
American Gentry
theatlantic.com
 
On Monday, immediately after the Canadian elections, it seemed the NDP would be the only party to substantially gain seats. But as mail/special ballots were counted, a bunch of close seats ended up going against them, erasing their gains.

2019: 24 seats. // 2021: 24 or 25 seats.
Replying to @Taniel
(We'll know the final and exact balance of power in the Parliament tomorrow, so check back for that then.)
 
On Monday, immediately after the Canadian elections, it seemed the NDP would be the only party to substantially gain seats. But as mail/special ballots were counted, a bunch of close seats ended up going against them, erasing their gains.

2019: 24 seats. // 2021: 24 or 25 seats.
 
painfully tight elections, and the idiocy of multi-party first-past-the-post elections, Canadian edition
 
Nebraska’s redrawn legislative map, agreed on by both parties, will make the Biden-carried NE2 slightly redder — but not like what the GOP planned for earlier this summer when it tried to split Omaha to dilute the blue vote
Replying to @Taniel
Nebraska’s map is a relief for Democrats given what may have been (what almost was) — certainly preserves not just Dems’ hopes for a presidential electoral vote in 2024, but a possible House pick-up as well at some point.
In reply to @Taniel
 
Nebraska’s redrawn legislative map, agreed on by both parties, will make the Biden-carried NE2 slightly redder — but not like what the GOP planned for earlier this summer when it tried to split Omaha to dilute the blue vote
In reply to @DKElections
Shapefiles for Nebraska's new map should appear here: news.legislature.ne.gov/red/shapefiles… The current proposal keeps Omaha whole but trades bluer suburbs in Sarpy county for red rural areas
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
My dispatch from Del Rio, where deterrence as a policy is failing yet again.

politico.com/news/magazine/…
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
Over a long career as a public intellectual, Charles Mills used his gut-punching wit and moral clarity in defense of racial justice. dissentmagazine.org/online_article…
The House That Charles Built | Dissent Magazine
dissentmagazine.org
 
I’m traveling in Portugal, & it’s coinciding with their local elections, & there are partisan parades and flyers for various municipal slates, and I’m all aflutter.
 
Justice Breyer will give a speech next week explaining why McConnell’s actions aren’t politically motivated.
Some news here: McConnell is not ruling out blocking the next Dem SCOTUS pick if Republicans take the majority.

politico.com/minutes/congre…
 
Bless them
The GOP’s recount of Maricopa County’s 2.1 million votes has Biden’s lead GROWING by 360 votes (Biden +99, Trump -261) over the official tally kjzz.org/content/171931…
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
Dems who voted NO: Axne, Bustos, Crist, Cuellar, Delgado, Demings, Fletcher, Golden, Gottheimer, Harder, Himes, Kind, Lamb, Susie Lee, Stephanie Murphy, Pappas, Peters, Schrader, Schrier, Swalwell, Vela, Wild

GOP YES votes: Massie, McClintock
clerk.house.gov/Votes/2021281
Roll Call 281, Bill Number: H. R. 4350, 117th Congress, 1st Session
clerk.house.gov
 
 
In reply to @Taniel
Oh god, this essential @EthanSCorey & @elizabethweill is another tragic illustration today of the revolving door that often lead prosecutors to control all aspects of a person’s fate — even the so-called checks.
Replying to @Taniel
What is it today and prosecutor news?!?!
A Republican DA in Pennsylvania who styled himself as a tough-on-crime prosecutor—while refusing to pursue charges against anyone cited for disregarding state mask mandates—now stands accused of violently raping a female acquaintance in her own home

thedailybeast.com/jeffrey-lynn-t…
 
In reply to @Taniel
Looks like they were friendly to him in 2018 when he won the county dude
Replying to @TierOnePoster
Yes, but a lot less, hence my tweet. It’s rather straightforward.
 
In reply to @Taniel
I'm not sure that we should read too very much into this other than what we already know about the trends. If there were an experienced compelling Republican candidate that party had aligned around, it would have been a different story.
Replying to @mdweinberg
Maybe…? The trendline in Orange County is rather dramatic and very steady.
 
In reply to @Taniel
And California hasn’t been this friendly to a Democrat in a Governor’s race since the 1800s.
Replying to @Taniel
Presented more dramatically still, in a county with obvious 2022 importance (pending the new maps…):
Orange County results in CA Governor elections:

2003: R+47
2006: R+44
2010: R+20
2014: R+11
2018: D+0.3
2021: D+3
 
Orange County hasn’t been this friendly to a Democrat in a governor’s race since the 1970s.
Replying to @Taniel
And California hasn’t been this friendly to a Democrat in a Governor’s race since the 1800s.
 
Orange County hasn’t been this friendly to a Democrat in a governor’s race since the 1970s.
OC has nearly finished counting all recall ballots:

No - 585,098 (51.7%)
Yes - 546,155 (48.3%)

Only about 8k left to count. Newsom won OC by just 0.2% in 2018.
 
The wildly unethical behavior that goes on in prosecutors’ offices all around the country routinely exposes people to highly punitive outcomes — but this may take the cake of the surreal
Replying to @Taniel
Oh god, this essential @EthanSCorey & @elizabethweill is another tragic illustration today of the revolving door that often lead prosecutors to control all aspects of a person’s fate — even the so-called checks.
Anthony Sims has been seeking to have his 1999 murder conviction overturned for years. Until recently, the office in charge of reviewing his case was led by the prosecutor who convicted him. nysfocus.com/2021/09/23/ant…
 
In reply to @Taniel
Note that Villanueva is up for re-election in 2022, & many of the local activists who worked to unseat the sitting DA in 2020 oppose him -- but as people still pay less attention to sheriffs than DAs, how well will that translate?
Replying to @Taniel
A reminder that Villanueva has made himself one of the chief antagonists to the new reform DA, Gascón. (And that Gascón’s opponents have attempted a recall effort, which the sheriff signed but failed to get enough signatures.)
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
ICE detention in NJ is diminishing dramatically. During Trump, 3 county jails & 1 private prison detained ~1,500 immigrants from NY & NJ. Now, detained population in NJ is 170, 2 jails are closed, another stopped taking new detainees, and a 4th is being sued to force closure. 1/5
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
"The [Civilian Oversight Commission] subpoenaed Villanueva to appear before them Thursday to answer questions about the team. The sheriff has indicated that he will not show up, saying he is too busy."
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
“If there is one overarching lesson in what we accomplished in Illinois, it is this: Attorneys and other professional advocates must take seriously the 'unrealistic' goals of organizers and work in partnership to achieve them.”
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
A 24-yr-old man yesterday became the 12th person to die at Rikers Island this year. There is a lot to say (and a lot @MarshallProj & others have said & will say) about the chaos, violence, dysfunction at the jail complex. But for now, I wanted to pause for a moment and remember:
 
In reply to @Taniel
Worth noting that Villanueva was elected in 2018 w support from some progressive Ds who believed, wrongly it turns out, that he shared their views. Good example of how these races don't get a lot of informed attention. latimes.com/california/sto…
Replying to @DavidLauter
He did make some specific promises on immigration that had advocates looking to make change on that dimension and who I talked to then interested in him — sheriffs who ran on that elsewhere (eg NC) proved to be very different overall. But overall yes definitely!
 
Staggering abuse of powers in Los Angeles, where Sheriff Villanueva has a unit devoted to conducting criminal investigations into the sheriff's critics, the @latimes reports:

latimes.com/california/sto…
Replying to @Taniel
Note that Villanueva is up for re-election in 2022, & many of the local activists who worked to unseat the sitting DA in 2020 oppose him -- but as people still pay less attention to sheriffs than DAs, how well will that translate?
 
Staggering abuse of powers in Los Angeles, where Sheriff Villanueva has a unit devoted to conducting criminal investigations into the sheriff's critics, the @latimes reports:

latimes.com/california/sto…
 
Replying to @elizabethweill
oh god I constantly get super excited to get new email before realizing it’s from me 😭
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
Los Angeles wants the unhoused out of its combustible canyons. But no one ever suggests banning the rich from those same hills, @PiperSFrench writes. newrepublic.com/article/163739…
Banning the Homeless Wont Keep California From Burning
newrepublic.com
 
Taniel Retweeted ·  
Even the one "enviro" thing that Joe Manchin supports is a benefit to his personal bottom line. Why Manchin will profit from abandoned mine land reclamation, from our friends at @Sludge:
prospect.org/power/manchin-…
 
The wildly unethical behavior that goes on in prosecutors’ offices all around the country routinely exposes people to highly punitive outcomes — but this may take the cake of the surreal
I didn't believe this summary was correct, but in fact yes. The prosecutor moonlighted as a judicial clerk for the very judge who sentenced the man to death - even worse, he WROTE THE ORDER DENYING THE HABEAS RELIEF HE OPPOSED AS THE PROSECUTOR.
 
Something @sahilkapur I touched tonight. The last time there was a big show-down between progressives and conservative Dems was on the ACA. And the conservatives won.
And the balance got even more out of whack when the big thing SCOTUS blew up was Medicaid expansion
 
 
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