@AndrewDessler | 33,619 followers
if you're wondering why climate impacts seem to be getting much worse suddenly, let me introduce you to the concept of non-linearity. A short 馃У:

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Total of 25 replies and 42 quotes found
In reply to @AndrewDessler
I've been talking to folks about thresholds and the nonlinearity problem - as well as the obfuscations of "1.5 to stay alive" - by having them deeply consider the Holdridge life zone system, despite it's faults, and having them imagine possibilities. twitter.com/postmodernlivi鈥
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Climate is what we expect. Weather is what we get.
A great thread that politicians and policy makers need to read and understand....
The sciences tend to underestimate positive feedback loops, which are not well-studied, because it is very difficult to control and predict their behavior. This affects climate perceptions, which this thread by Dessler exemplifies, although he doesn't talk about positive feedback
In reply to @AndrewDessler
They鈥檙e not getting worse - it鈥檚 a fabrication.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
I don't really need the math of it. Bottom line is that SO MANY people ignore the fact that animal agriculture is the second biggest pollutant on earth - plus it's cruel and it keeps people unhealthy - since there are alternatives now for all meat and dairy NO ONE should buy it.
This is important to understand: small changes can lead to massive damage #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis
Great thread explaining the non-linearity of "climate change."
Saving this tweet for when we talk about different growth models. Humans seem to be wired to assume everything is linear.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
I have contended for years - confirmed by the exponential growth in the pandemic - that human intuition is basically linear extrapolation. Which is really bad news.
In reply to @ubugmenot
I don't believe non-linear concepts are non-intuitive but, as you mention, education is the key. #auspol twitter.com/andrewdessler/鈥
Constant exposure to nonlinear systems is why people from the tech sector were right about COVID and why they're the first of the professional class to join climate companies en masse.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
In other words, there鈥檚 a tipping point or points where it鈥檚 too late and it all goes to shit! #climateaction
It is crucial to understand this 馃憞 in order to comprehend the new abnormal #climate (no, it is not "a new normal") and the worsening effects of #ClimateChange.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Climate is a chaotic system. Energy input into chaotic systems causes an increase in the frequency and amplitude of events.
Important reminder --> #ClimateCrisis impacts are non-linear. Each new 0.1 degree of warming is not equally impactful. The further you go, the worse it gets. Happy Thursday!
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Western culture has exclusively a linear concept of time, and could be why we fail on climate change.
How nonlinearity makes climate change worse.
The West in particular have utterly failed to inculcate an understanding of complexity and non-linearity within education, which is a complete disaster given society, climate, economics, and everything else important is, in fact, complex.
Excellent info on why we鈥檙e so forked and everyone is just living like things are normal (whatever that is..do we really know anymore?馃槬)
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Why do engineers use safety factors to counter the the 100 year event?
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Sell your parka, but some shorts
It's the gravity of the situation. Things pick up speed downhill.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Yes鈥 impacts鈥 worse鈥 suddenly.. wait well that鈥檚 not what the actual data says. pic.twitter.com/comlZkTzEv
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Thanks but can't read it as I can see and feel it in my physical world 馃様
Useful explanation of nonlinearity and its implications for climate impacts
Good explanation.
A great thread on the perspective required to understand climate change impacts WHILE living in them. This, along with the idea of tipping points and planetary boundaries are why understanding our environmental problems is so difficult. And why we tend to not act early.
"With 1.1掳C of global-average warming, we are departing the climatic conditions that much of the infrastructure designed in the 20th century was designed for."
In reply to @AndrewDessler
This is why I don't believe your climate change bullshit. pic.twitter.com/FEt66B5pT0
In reply to @AndrewDessler
Shouldn't all the rich people be leaving their beach homes?
Climate non-linearity
Err艖l az eg茅szr艖l az jut az eszembe, amikor valaki okosnak akar l谩tszani, de kurv谩ra nem az鈥 a legt枚bb p茅lda nem is ide val贸鈥 egyszer疟en nem v谩g t茅m谩ba rendesen鈥 sz枚rny疟! Csak feld眉h铆t, ezen m茅g gondolkozni se lehet鈥
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In reply to @AndrewDessler
You are devising a series of excuses to explain why the cult's predictions aren't coming true. Happens all the time. Happens EVERY time! Look up the word, "gaslighting"
Why are wildfires, heat emergencies etc. getting worse all of a sudden? Thread.
And despite this, there are still #ClimateCrisis deniers out there who don't understand a multiplication table, let alone the concept of non linearity.
In reply to @AndrewDessler
I just realized I bought your book some 10yrs ago. Everyone should read it.
Interesting thread. I was literally talking to my wife about this the other day, but this way of thinking about it all gives me more understanding. Not good news tho. #ClimateEmergency #ClimateCrisis
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